Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah Valley
Western Athletic
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#190
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#227
Pace78.6#14
Improvement-5.1#338

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#251
First Shot-0.4#180
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#330
Layup/Dunks+3.0#57
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#348
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#126
Freethrows+0.4#154
Improvement-4.6#344

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#110
First Shot+1.1#136
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#97
Layups/Dunks+0.4#154
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#263
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#120
Freethrows+0.9#120
Improvement-0.4#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 1   @ Gonzaga L 69-92 1%     0 - 1 +3.9 +1.0 +5.5
  Nov 16, 2016 332   Idaho St. W 82-73 90%     1 - 1 -6.5 -7.4 +0.2
  Nov 23, 2016 194   @ Denver W 88-85 41%     2 - 1 +3.9 +7.2 -3.6
  Nov 26, 2016 74   @ BYU W 114-101 14%     3 - 1 +23.1 +17.5 +2.3
  Nov 30, 2016 171   @ Washington St. L 76-83 36%     3 - 2 -4.6 -5.3 +1.6
  Dec 03, 2016 257   Texas San Antonio W 75-71 74%     4 - 2 -4.1 -1.8 -2.4
  Dec 06, 2016 48   @ Utah L 80-87 9%     4 - 3 +6.4 +9.0 -2.3
  Dec 10, 2016 121   Utah St. L 79-80 OT 45%     4 - 4 -1.2 -7.1 +6.1
  Dec 17, 2016 184   @ Weber St. L 85-93 39%     4 - 5 -6.4 +6.4 -12.5
  Dec 21, 2016 257   @ Texas San Antonio L 60-66 56%     4 - 6 -9.0 -13.3 +4.5
  Dec 28, 2016 307   @ UC Riverside W 73-64 71%     5 - 6 +1.9 -2.1 +3.6
  Dec 31, 2016 213   @ UC Davis L 69-83 48%     5 - 7 -14.8 -3.1 -11.1
  Jan 07, 2017 161   @ Grand Canyon L 72-82 35%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -7.3 +0.0 -6.8
  Jan 12, 2017 339   Chicago St. L 61-70 92%     5 - 9 0 - 2 -26.3 -17.3 -9.1
  Jan 14, 2017 224   UMKC W 86-76 69%     6 - 9 1 - 2 +3.5 +0.4 +2.2
  Jan 21, 2017 122   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 65-68 27%     6 - 10 1 - 3 +1.9 +7.3 -5.8
  Jan 26, 2017 310   UT Rio Grande Valley W 92-81 85%     7 - 10 2 - 3 -1.4 -1.4 -1.5
  Jan 28, 2017 90   New Mexico St. L 69-74 36%     7 - 11 2 - 4 -2.6 -3.2 +0.5
  Feb 04, 2017 267   @ Seattle L 50-63 60%     7 - 12 2 - 5 -17.0 -18.7 +1.0
  Feb 09, 2017 224   @ UMKC L 76-84 50%     7 - 13 2 - 6 -9.4 -2.3 -6.8
  Feb 11, 2017 339   @ Chicago St. W 87-54 85%     8 - 13 3 - 6 +20.8 +5.7 +13.2
  Feb 16, 2017 122   Cal St. Bakersfield L 71-80 45%     8 - 14 3 - 7 -9.2 +3.3 -12.4
  Feb 18, 2017 161   Grand Canyon L 71-77 54%     8 - 15 3 - 8 -8.3 -4.6 -3.3
  Feb 23, 2017 90   @ New Mexico St. W 84-72 20%     9 - 15 4 - 8 +19.5 +16.6 +3.4
  Feb 25, 2017 310   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 88-68 72%     10 - 15 5 - 8 +12.7 +2.1 +8.9
  Mar 04, 2017 267   Seattle W 61-54 77%     11 - 15 6 - 8 -2.1 -7.5 +6.0
  Mar 09, 2017 267   Seattle W 65-53 69%     12 - 15 +5.5 -5.9 +11.7
  Mar 10, 2017 122   Cal St. Bakersfield L 80-81 4OT 36%     12 - 16 +1.4 -8.0 +9.7
Projected Record 12.0 - 16.0 6.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8 100.0% 100.0
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%